Using Modeling and Simulation to Advance Effects-Based Security Forces Planning

Developing Prototype Approaches to Estimate Risk Reduction Across Security Missions

By Brian A. JacksonVikram Kilambi, David R. Frelinger, Thomas Light, Aisha Najera Chesler, Paul Emslie, Anthony Lawrence,

Publisher: RAND Corporation

Imprint: RAND Corporation

This report summarizes research on how top-down risk analysis models could help inform the staffing, systems, and strategies for the U.S. Air Force Security Forces. Although existing security planning supports bottom-up, asset-based security planning, such processes do not fully explore the risk trade-offs, nor do they identify opportunities for SF strategies to manage multiple risks simultaneously.

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